Seasonal Shifts, Strategic Moves: An Investor’s Guide to the Autumn Market

September 24, 2025

September is here, and with it comes a shift. The slower pace of summer gives way to sharpened focus for many. For the financial industry, that means a barrage of predictions about the Fed, inflation data, and seasonal volatility.

As your Personal CFO, my job is to help you filter through those predictions. Because while the headlines change daily, the things that truly matter—your long-term goals, your family, and your vision for the future—do not.

Filtering the Autumn Noise

It’s easy to feel a sense of urgency when every news alert seems critical. But reacting emotionally to market swings is often a mistake. A good financial plan is designed to weather these storms, not try to dodge every raindrop. In the words of the legendary boxer Mike Tyson, “Everyone has a plan until they get hit.”

This is exactly what happens when market volatility hits and values drop. We just experienced a powerful example of this when the market reached all-time highs in February 2025 and then saw a 20% drop by April 2025. I remember how easy it was for clients to put their plans in place when the markets were calm and rising. The real test came when their plans were put into practice.

I had one couple who, understandably, reached out very concerned during this time. We walked through their plan step by step, and when we reran the numbers, they were still very much on track to accomplish their goals. Here’s what their plan revealed:

  • Six months of living expenses in an emergency fund, providing peace of mind no matter what.
  • Five years of portfolio income set aside in short-term, high-quality fixed-income investments, which provided stability even during market turbulence.
  • The remainder of their portfolio was invested in enduring companies, built to weather market fluctuations for the long term.

By staying disciplined and following the strategy, they avoided emotional reactions to the market noise and kept their plan intact, putting them in an even stronger position than before.

Proactive Planning: Your Autumn Playbook

Autumn is a time for preparation, and the following playbook outlines the productive conversations I’m having with clients right now. These “plays” are designed to help you prepare for the year ahead and ensure your financial plan is solid, no matter what the market does.

Play 1: Conduct a Year-End Tax Review

Tax time may not be until mid-April, but there’s a ton of tax planning we can do before the end of the year. This season, I’m working with clients to address key tax considerations:

  • Harvest tax losses
  • Maximize contributions to tax-deferred accounts
  • Contribute to a 529 plan
  • Accelerate business expenses
  • Make charitable donations

Play 2: Create a Financial Plan for Next Year

Whether you had a plan for this year or not, now is the time to create your financial plan for 2026. As you prepare your financial plan for 2026, here are some questions to consider:

  • What will you need to save for?
  • Do you have enough insurance?
  • Is your estate planning done?
  • What are you going to do with your equity comp?
  • What will you do with your bonuses?

Play 3: Assess Your Investments

While I’m a firm believer in investing for the long term, you should still adjust your portfolio periodically. This is the perfect time to review and make necessary changes. Here are some of the actions I work with clients to address:

  • Rebalance your portfolio
  • Harvest investment gains
  • Sell off equity compensation
  • Harvest tax losses from underperforming investments

Your Partner for the Path Ahead

Navigating the markets doesn’t have to be stressful. When you shift your focus from reacting to the moment to executing a plan rooted in your personal goals, you can move forward with confidence.

As your Personal CFO, my role is to help you maintain that long-term perspective. If you’d like to review your plan to ensure you're positioned for both near-term confidence and long-term growth, let's connect.